Yixuan Wang, Yijie Wang, Ziming Zhang, Tingting Li, Fan Wang, Juan Su, Xiaosong Zhao, Xudong Zhu, and Zhangcai Qin
2026, 19 (5): rtag077.
Mangroves are critical blue carbon ecosystems, essential for coastal preservation and carbon sequestration. Despite widespread attention to mangrove deforestation and reforestation driven by land-use/land-cover changes (LULCCs), integrated assessments of CO2 and CH4 fluxes across diverse transitions under the same spatiotemporal context remain scarce, hindering advances in restoration planning and land-use emission modeling. This study investigated five LULCC types on Qi’ao Island, China: mudflats, native Kandelia obovata, exotic Sonneratia apetala, S. apetala deforestation areas, and abandoned fish ponds. Combining one year of in situ carbon flux measurements with remote sensing data (1980-2020), we assessed changes in carbon sink dynamics and CH4 fluxes at both site and regional scales. At the site level, mudflats acted as weak carbon sinks (2.1 ±1.7 t CO2 hm-2 a-1). By contrast, the exotic S. apetala exhibited a carbon sink 3-4 times stronger (60.6 ±5.8 t CO2 hm-2 a-1) than the native K. obovata (16.8 ±2.0 t CO2 hm-2 a-1). Abandoned fish ponds (7.7 ±1.3 t CO2 hm-2 a-1) retained a moderate carbon sink due to abundant aquatic vegetation, whereas deforestation resulted in a carbon source (-1.1 ±0.9 t CO2 hm-2 a-1). Notably, sites with higher CO2 uptake also emitted higher CH4 emissions, which indicated a climate mitigation trade-off. CH4 emissions offset ~12% of the climate benefit from CO2 uptake. Regionally, LULCCs, driven largely by mangrove reforestation, shifted the region from a net carbon source to a net carbon sink around 1990. These findings highlight the impacts of LULCC in shaping carbon sinks, and they offer valuable insights for optimizing future restoration strategies with greater climate benefits.