J Plant Ecol ›› Advance articles     DOI:10.1093/jpe/rtag196

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Allometric above- and belowground biomass models for China's subtropical forests advance pan-tropical carbon assessments

Sheng Huang1, 2, 3, Shu-Guang Liu2, *, Wen-Xi Tang1, 2, 3, Yu Zhu1, 3 and Shu-Qing Zhao2   

  1. 1 School of Ecology and Environment, Central South University of Forestry and Technology (CSUFT), Changsha 410004, China;
    2 School of Ecology, Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China;
    3 National Engineering Laboratory for Applied Technology of Forestry & Ecology in South China, CSUFT, Changsha 410004, China
    *Correspondence: Shu-Guang Liu
    Email: shuguang.liu@yahoo.com
    Tel & Fax: + 86 898 66290952
  • Received:2025-12-12 Revised:2026-07-14 Accepted:2026-07-26 Published:2026-08-29
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by research grants from the Hainan Talent Convergence Initiative (HNYT20250005), the Key Research and Development Program of Hunan Province (2023NK2037), the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province of China (BK20220019) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U20A2089 and 41971152).

Abstract: Accurate allometric models are essential for quantifying forest carbon sinks. China’s extensive subtropical forests lack reliable biomass models, limiting carbon estimation. Here, we developed improved above- and below-ground biomass models using 1,993 harvest-based records from 166 sites. Various biomass models were developed, incorporating tree diameter at breast height (D, in cm), tree height (H, in m), and wood density (ρ, in g cm-3). Model performance was rigorously evaluated against existing approaches using the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), mean percent bias (MPB), and mean absolute percent error (MAPE) at individual and plot scales. The optimal above-ground biomass (AGB, in kg) model, AGE=0.0526·(ρD2H)0.9891 (R2=0.96, RMSE=62.18 kg, MPB=2.06% and MAPE=26.69%), and below- ground biomass (BGB, in kg) model, BGB=0.0107·(ρD2H)0.9803 (R2=0.90, RMSE=13.96 kg, MPB=6.84% and MAPE=33.16%). Our AGB estimates showed superior accuracy to Chave et al.’s pan-tropical model, with lower systematic bias (MPB=-1.59% vs. 13.88%) and error (MAPE=27.34% vs. 31.36%), particularly for trees with D < 100 cm (~97% of total validation data). Root-to-shoot ratios differed between functional types (0.231 ± 0.084 for broadleaf versus 0.194 ± 0.062 for coniferous species) and shifted with spatial scale and soil type; the paired AGB–BGB equations improved belowground estimation relative to a single constant ratio. These models facilitate more robust pan- tropical carbon assessments, thus supporting informed forest management and global climate policy decisions, especially in regions previously understudied.

Key words: forest biomass models, pan-tropical trees, carbon, wood density, root-to-shoot ratio