J Plant Ecol ›› Advance articles     DOI:10.1093/jpe/rtaf110

   

Ecological indicators predict functional diversity dynamics following glacier retreat

Gianalberto Losapio1,2, Lucía Mottet1, Nora Khelidj1, Bao Ngan Tu1,2, Bruno E.L. Cerabolini3, Stephanie Grand1, Natasha de Vere4, Antoine Guisan1,5   

  1. 1Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
    2Department of Biosciences, University of Milan, 20133 Milan, Italy
    3Department of Biotechnologies and Life Sciences, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy
    4Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
    5Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland

    Corresponding author. E-mail: Gianalberto.Losapio@unimi.it
  • Online:2025-07-19 Published:2025-07-19
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation [Grant number PZ00P3_202127], the Italian Ministry of Education and Research [PRIN 2022 PNRR MITEX P2022N5KYJ], and Biodiversa+ [grant agreement n. 101052342].

Abstract: The retreat of glaciers due to climate change is reshaping mountain landscapes and biodiversity. While previous research has documented vegetation succession after glacier retreat, our understanding of functional diversity dynamics is still limited. In this case study, we address the effects of glacier retreat on plant functional diversity by integrating plant traits with ecological indicator values across a 140-year chronosequence in a subalpine glacier landscape. We reveal that functional richness and functional dispersion decrease with glacier retreat, while functional evenness and functional divergence increase, suggesting a shift towards more specialized and competitive communities. Our findings highlight the critical role of ecological factors related to soil moisture, soil nutrients, and light availability in shaping plant community dynamics. As years since deglaciation was a key factor in regression and machine learning models, encapsulating time-lagged, spatial, and historical processes, we highlight the needed of including time into phenomenological or mechanistic models predicting biodiversity change following glacier retreat. The integrative approach of this case study provides novel insights into the potential response of alpine plant communities to climate change, offering a deeper understanding of how to predict and anticipate the effects of glacier extinction on biodiversity in rapidly changing environments.

Key words: alpine ecosystems, biodiversity change, climate change, community dynamics, glacier retreat, global warming, Landolt values, plant functional traits.