J Plant Ecol ›› Advance articles     DOI:10.1093/jpe/rtag171

• Research Article •     Next Articles

Urban core–edge gradients in vertical and horizontal forest structure reveal nonlinear and threshold responses across Chinese cities

Jinying Wang12, Chaoqun Zhang1, Jianping Wu3, Wenting Yan4, Shiqi Jin12, Ziyin Liao523, Yixiao Wang6, Yongxian Su1*   

  1. 1 State Key Laboratory of Regional and Urban Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China
    2 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    3 Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System; Guangdong Open Laboratory of Geospatial Information Technology and Application; Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510070, China
    4 School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China
    5 Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
    6 Faculty of Land Resource Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China
  • Received:2026-05-15 Accepted:2026-06-27 Published:2026-07-31
  • Supported by:
    This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant nos. 42225104 and 42471326), the Science and Technology Program of Guangdong (grant no. 2024B1212070012), the General Program of Guangdong Provincial Natural Science Foundation (grant no. 2024A1515012731), the Chinese Academy of Sciences Project for Young Scientists in Basic Research (grant no. YSBR-086) and the GDAS Project of Science and Technology Development (grant no. 2022GDASZH-2022010105).

Abstract: Urban forests are inherently three-dimensional, yet whether their vertical and horizontal structural components respond synchronously to urbanization remains poorly understood. Here, using GEDI LiDAR observations from 31 provincial capital cities across China, we simultaneously quantified foliage height diversity (FHD) and canopy cover (CC) along morphologically adaptive urban core–edge gradients. Urban forests exhibited two distinct modes of three-dimensional structural organization. In 71% of cities, FHD and CC followed coordinated trajectories despite differences in trajectory shape, indicating synchronized structural development across urban gradients. In the remaining 29% of cities, the two structural dimensions became decoupled, exhibiting contrasting spatial trajectories under comparable urbanization gradients. Machine-learning analyses further showed that coordinated systems were consistently dominated by population density, whereas precipitation, land surface temperature and soil properties regulated structural variation through type-specific nonlinear interactions. By contrast, decoupled systems were influenced by largely the same climatic and anthropogenic drivers, yet FHD and CC exhibited fundamentally different response functions despite similar driver importance. These findings provide a mechanistic explanation for why similar urbanization pressures produce contrasting three-dimensional forest structures across cities.

Using GEDI LiDAR data from 31 Chinese cities, this study identified coordinated and decoupled three-dimensional urban forest structural modes. Machine-learning analyses showed that these modes arise from contrasting nonlinear responses to shared environmental and anthropogenic drivers, providing new insights into urban forest structural mechanisms.

Key words: Urban forest structure, GEDI LiDAR, urban core–edge gradients, trajectory coupling, XGBoost–SHAP