J Plant Ecol ›› Advance articles     DOI:10.1093/jpe/rtag001

• Research Article •     Next Articles

Predicting the spatial distribution of vegetation alliances with ecological knowledge under sample-limited conditions

Fang-He Zhao1,2,#, Ningxia Jia3,4,5,#, Ke Guo2,3,4, A-Xing Zhu6, Cheng-Zhi Qin1,2,7,8,*   

  1. 1State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    2College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    3State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100093, China
    4China National Botanical Garden, Beijing 100093, China
    5College of Life Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    6Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, 53706, USA
    7School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’ an 710119, China
    8Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China
    # These authors contributed equally to this work
    * Corresponding author: Cheng-Zhi Qin Email: qincz@lreis.ac.cn
  • Received:2025-08-20 Accepted:2025-12-09 Published:2026-01-06
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China [42501531, 42471499], Chinese Academy of Sciences [XDB0740200-02-05], The Second Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research (STEP) Program [2019QZKK0301], China Postdoctoral Science Foundation [GZC20250244], Innovation Project of LREIS

样本受限情境下基于生态学知识的植被群系空间分布推测方法

Abstract: Accurate spatial distribution of vegetation types is fundamental to understanding ecosystem structure, biodiversity patterns, and environmental responses. However, predicting the distribution of lower-level vegetation classification units such as alliances remains challenging due to limited and uneven sample availability, particularly for rare or narrow-niche communities. To address this issue, this study proposes the KnowSim method that integrates expert-defined ecological knowledge to evaluate environmental similarity between locations. Vegetation types are predicted by assigning each site the type of its most ecologically similar sample. The method was tested in two regions of the Tibetan Plateau (Bome and Zoige), which exhibit contrasting yet complementary climatic and topographic conditions, together representing the Plateau’s typical environmental settings. Results demonstrate that KnowSim consistently outperforms statistical methods (Random Forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, and Logistic Regression) in both accuracy and type diversity. The improvement is particularly evident for alliances with sparse samples, achieving up to 24.6% higher accuracy in Zoige for alliances with fewer than five training samples. Moreover, the predicted vegetation maps better align with ecological gradients and field observations, demonstrating both ecological interpretability and predictive robustness under sample-limited conditions.

Key words: Spatial distribution, vegetation alliance, expert ecological knowledge, geographic similarity, limited samples

摘要:
准确刻画植被类型的空间分布,对理解生态系统结构、生物多样性格局及环境响应过程具有重要意义。然而,受样点数量有限和空间分布不均的制约,现有方法仍难以准确推测中级植被分类单位(如植被群系)的空间分布,其中稀有类型受影响尤为明显。基于此,本文提出了融合生态学知识与地理相似性的KnowSim方法,通过生态学知识计算样点与待推测点之间的地理环境相似性,将最相似样点的植被类型赋予待推测位置,以此实现植被群系类型的空间推测。该方法在青藏高原的两个植被小区(波密和若尔盖)进行了验证,两区域在气候和地形条件上差异显著,共同代表了青藏高原的典型环境特征。结果表明,KnowSim在预测精度和群系类型多样性方面均显著优于随机森林(RF)、极端梯度提升(XGBoost)、支持向量机(SVM)和逻辑回归(LR)模型。该方法在样点数量有限的植被群系中的优势尤为明显:在若尔盖小区,当群系样点数量小于5个时,预测精度最高可提升24.6%。此外,KnowSim生成的植被群系分布图与实际环境梯度分布特征和野外调查结果更相符。上述结果共同表明,本文提出的方法在样本受限条件下具有良好的生态解释性与预测稳健性。

关键词: 空间分布, 植被群系, 生态学知识, 地理相似性, 有限样点