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Research Articles

Machine learning applications to reveal the difference in Robinia pseudoacacia growth and its drivers on China’s Loess Plateau

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  • 1School of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Henan Institute of Science and Technology, Xinxiang 453003, China,
    2State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on the Loess Plateau, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China

    *Corresponding author. E-mail: shangguan@ms.iswc.ac.cn

Received date: 2024-03-19

  Accepted date: 2024-10-29

  Online published: 2024-11-19

Supported by

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42307579), the Key Scientific and Technological Research Project of Henan Province (232102320260) and the Scientific Research Foundation for High-level Talent of Henan Institute of Science and Technology (2024GCC008). Conflict of interest statement. The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Abstract

The decline in tree growth has become a global issue. It is critically important to explore the factors affecting tree growth under the background of global climate change to understand tree growth models. A database was established based on Robinia pseudoacacia growth and its driving factors on China’s Loess Plateau. Linear regression and three machine learning methods, including support vector machine, random forest (RF) and gradient boosting machine were used to develop R. pseudoacacia growth models considering forest age, density, climate factors and topographic factors. The root mean square deviation method was adopted to quantitatively assess the relationship between tree growth and soil properties. The average tree height of R. pseudoacacia on the Loess Plateau was 8.8 ± 0.1 m, the average diameter at breast height (DBH) was 10.4 ± 0.1 cm and the average crown diameter was 3.2 ± 0.1 m. The RF model was a fast and effective machine learning method for predicting R. pseudoacacia growth, which showed the best simulation capability and could account for 67% of tree height variability and 55% of DBH variability. Model importance indicated that forest age and stand density were the main factors predicting R. pseudoacacia growth, followed by climate factors. The trade-off between R. pseudoacacia growth and soil properties revealed that soil texture and soil pH were the primary determinants of R. pseudoacacia growth in this region. Our synthesis provides a good framework for sustainable forest management in vulnerable ecological areas under future climate change.

Cite this article

Bingqian Su, Wenlong Xu, Zhuoxia Su, Zhouping Shangguan . Machine learning applications to reveal the difference in Robinia pseudoacacia growth and its drivers on China’s Loess Plateau[J]. Journal of Plant Ecology, 2025 , 18(1) : 1 -16 . DOI: 10.1093/jpe/rtae104

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